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A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z 0-9

Prospects for Africa's 26 fragile countries

Author: Jakkie Cilliers, Timothy D. Sisk
Organisation: African Futures Project
Publish Date: 2013
Country: Africa
Sector: Social Development
Method: Creative thinking
Theme: Protection
Type: Other publication
Language: English
Tags: State fragility, Human security, War and violence, State capacity, Education, Health

This policy paper provides an overview of a longer monograph that provides long-term forecasts of fragility in Africa. Using the International Futures system (IFs) data-analysis and forecasting tool, the paper provides a long-term forecast of 26 fragile African countries. They are chosen on the basis of comparative lists of fragile countries from indicators that reflect the fragility syndrome. In conducting the forecast, the authors argue that fragility should be understood as a syndrome, or set of related conditions, that operates in a system that is mutually reinforcing.
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