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Tackling Obesities: Future Choices - Modelling Future Trends in Obesity and the Impact on Health

Author: Klim McPherson, Tim Marsh, Martin Brown
Organisation: UK Government Office for Science
Publish Date: 2007
Country: United Kingdom
Sector: Health
Method: Creative thinking
Theme: Food
Type: Report
Language: English
Tags: Obesity, Obesity growth, Microsimulation, Obesity trends, Diseases, Cost implications, BMI distribution

Part 1 of the report addresses the likely obesity levels that will be seen in 2050 by supposing that the trends observed between 1993 and 2004 continue until 2050. Part 2 allows wide-ranging changes in the predicted trajectories of obesity rates among any specified subgroups of the population and calculates the consequences in terms of the rates of related diseases, health service costs and life expectancy (other, obesity-unrelated, determinants of these indices remaining constant)
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