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The Base Case of International Futures (IFs): Comparison with Other Forecasts

Author: Barry B. Hughes
Organisation: National Intelligence Council
Publish Date: 2010
Country: Global
Sector: Research
Method: Forecasting
Theme: Futures
Type: Methodology
Language: English
Tags: forecasts

This paper provides an introduction to the base case of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. It does so through a review of forecasts made by many organizations and some individuals in all of the major issue areas covered by IFs: population/demographics; economics; energy; food and agriculture; the environment; and socio-political systems. It provides information about the IFs base case in the context of those forecasts, comparing IFs with them and explaining key differences.

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