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Scenarios Workshop Report 3-4th March 2010

Author: Gerald Nelson
Organisation: IFPRI
Publish Date: March 2010
Country: Global
Sector: Agriculture
Method: Workshop
Theme: Food
Type: Report
Language: English
Tags: Population growth, GDP, Agricultural productivity, Climate change, Trade liberalization

This workshop’s objectives are to: •Develop ‘consensus’ estimates of key global drivers, or at least the process for quickly identifying them from earlier scenarios exercises (candidate drivers are income, population, trade and agricultural productivity) •Facilitate a longer term process of scenario development, including tools for users, that can be helpful to many potential users •Allow relatively disparate groups with scenario needs to interact with each other. Foresight participated in the workshop in order to improve and refine a quantitative scenarios work package that has been commissioned from the Institute of Development Studies and is being led by Professor Sherman Robinson. The workshop was also an opportunity to take forward the objectives of a joint Foresight/Defra modeling workstream, which include supporting inter-model comparison and encouraging data-sharing. Scenario development was explored in presentations by Monika Zurek (Gates Foundation), John Ingram (CCAFS) and Richard Moss (Joint Global Change Research Institute).
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