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Greater Horn of East Africa (GHEA) Outlook: Struggling to Stay in Orbit

Author: Society for International Development (SID)
Organisation: Society for International Development (SID)
Publish Date: September 2013
Country: Africa
Sector: Democracy & Governance, Legal & Civic Rights
Type: Other publication
Language: English
Tags: Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), EAC countries, trends, conflict, violence, Kenya, Integration, Currencies, Second Congo War, security

Struggling to Stay in Orbit: Will centrifugal forces eventually force the EAC into a tailspin? In this Greater Horn of East Africa (GHEA) Outlook, three trends are examined that at first do not seem connected. The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has been a victim of constant violence, corruption, wars and exploitation for many decades. There seems to be no end in sight to the conflict and instability that its citizens have long suffered. Today, it is at the center of gravity in the vortex of violence in the region. Three of the five EAC countries - Tanzania, Rwanda and Uganda - are both directly and indirectly involved, with negative consequences that could potentially spiral out of control. The conditions for a Second Congo War could well be aligning, and in that event, the GHEA faces even greater destabilization, a huge humanitarian disaster and even deeper refugee crisis. It would certainly undermine the spirit of regional integration.
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