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Why strategic foresight matters for Africa

Author: Julia Schünemann
Organisation: Institute for Security Studies
Publish Date: October 2014
Country: Africa
Sector: Development
Method: Forecasting
Type: Other publication
Language: English
Tags: Development, Strategic foresight, development policy, quantitative integrated forecasting, International Futures (IF) model, African Union, Agenda 2063

Over the past five decades, Africa has experienced great transition and change. Many positive developments are taking shape on the continent. Overall, human development is improving, conflict has declined and sustained economic growth presents genuine opportunities for development. Yet many structural challenges persist, and the pressure to tackle these simultaneously is probably the most complex task the continent faces today. Africa needs to deepen its strategic reflection in order to anticipate the future with confidence. It must think more systematically about long-term trends and plan for the future if it is to take advantage of opportunities arising from economic growth.
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