Home |  Contact UsSitemap

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z 0-9

A review of global scenario exercises for food security analysis

Author: Michiel van Dijk
Organisation: LEI-Wageningen UR
Publish Date: September 2012
Country: Global
Sector: Agriculture
Method: Scenarios
Theme: Food
Type: Report
Language: English
Tags: Food security, Food security scenarios, Food availability, Food accessibility, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)

This study reviews eight important scenario studies (and an upcoming assessment), in particularly looking at the implications for food security under different futures. It finds that the studies only deal with two of the four dimensions of food security: food availability and food accessibility, while food utilisation and stability are hardly covered. This is mainly caused by the nature of the models, which have well developed models to simulate bio-physical and market dynamics but with very limited capacity to analyse the household and individual part of food demand and food security. Furthermore, the transition towards a bio-based economy is not specifically addressed by the studies. This major global change process already has contributed to an upward pressure on prices and is expected to continue doing so in the future to come. Climate change is dealt with in two of the studies and is expected to affect negative effects on food security.
Located in: Resources
Powered by Sigsiu.NET
Foresight For Development - Funding for this uniquely African foresight site was generously provided by Rockefeller Foundation. Email Us | Creative Commons Deed | Terms of Conditions