Tags: Futures, Security, Estimates, Forecasts, Scenarios, National strategy, Consensus

This study attempts, through analysis of representative and reputable sources, to incorporate the most likely characteristics of the future security environment into a single scenario, while heightening our awareness of dissenting viewpoints and plausible wild cards. The objective is to avoid the mistakes made by great powers in the past by moderating both the natural urge for economy in defense and impatience with futures that do not conform to the desired outcomes of our strategic vision of the future security environment.

All possible wars - Towards a concensus view.pdf